The end of the federal EV tax credit hit the electric vehicle market hard at the start of 2026, and the registration numbers tell that story clearly. According to Automotive News, new EV registrations dropped 41% in January compared to the same month a year prior, followed by a 37% decline in February and a 25% drop in March. Those are steep numbers, and they reflect exactly what happens when a financial incentive that many buyers were counting on suddenly disappears. The good news, if you want to call it that, is the market appears to be finding its footing.

April marked a notable turning point. EV registrations fell just 9.8% year-over-year that month, making it the smallest decline of 2026 so far and a sign that the initial shock of losing the tax credit is starting to wear off. No one is popping champagne over a 9.8% drop, but the trend line is clearly moving in the right direction. Month by month, the losses are shrinking, and that matters for how automakers and dealers plan their EV inventory and marketing strategies going into the second half of the year.

A big part of April’s relative strength came from Tesla. Automotive News reported that overall Tesla registrations climbed 13% during the month, with the Model Y leading the charge in a significant way. The Model Y posted 31,001 registrations and a 61% year-over-year increase, which is a remarkable number given the broader market headwinds. Tesla has faced plenty of its own turbulence lately with brand perception issues and competition heating up from multiple directions, so that kind of volume from the Model Y shows the vehicle still has a strong grip on the mainstream EV buyer.

The broader picture here is one of adjustment rather than collapse. The federal tax credit had become a load-bearing part of many EV purchase decisions, and when it went away, buyers pulled back. But the trajectory from January through April suggests the market is recalibrating. Buyers who genuinely want an EV are still buying them, even without the subsidy sweetener. If this trend continues and monthly declines keep shrinking, the EV market could be looking at year-over-year growth again before 2026 is out. That would be a meaningful recovery story for an industry segment that got off to a very rocky start this year.