Nationwide polls remain locked within their margins of error as former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris race through the final 48 hours before Election Day, trying to scramble every last vote to potentially decide the race.

While a shock poll out of Iowa conducted by the highly regarded Selzer & Company found Vice President Kamala Harris actually winning by three points in the Hawkeye State, and seemed to forecast the potential for a Harris victory, or at least point to an advantage other pollsters are missing, most final polling done ahead of Tuesday’s General Election found the Democratic candidate running even with Trump. But an Emerson College poll released Saturday found Trump up by 10.

Emerson College’s last national survey of likely voters found “former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris with 49% support each among US voters. One percent support a third-party candidate and one percent are undecided.”

TIPP’s daily tracking poll has shown Harris stalled at 48% support for the last nine days, with Trump dancing both above and below that line throughout. Their survey released Sunday shows the former President is now “holding a narrow 49% – 48% lead” but that there is plenty of room for either candidate to convince voters to make a choice.

“This late surge highlights stark divides across demographics like age, education, race, and region, pinpointing where both campaigns are doubling down in these final hours. Significantly, 6% of voters report they could still change their minds, underscoring how every moment could prove decisive as the race barrels toward Election Day,” TIPP wrote.

An ABC/Ipsos poll found the end of the election marked by a “dispirited electorate,” a majority of whom feel the country is headed in the wrong direction and aren’t pleased with their choice of presidential candidates, but who nevertheless stand narrowly divided over which they might choose.

“Harris has 49 percent support among likely voters in this final-weekend ABC News/Ipsos poll,
Trump 46 percent. Reflecting the country’s locked-in polarization, support for these candidates
hasn’t changed significantly since Harris stepped in to replace Joe Biden last summer,” wrote Langer Research, which conducted the poll.

That three-point split, according to those pollsters, has been seen “in the last eight presidential elections, of which Democrats won the popular vote in seven. Regardless, the result leaves a wide-open field for the vagaries of the Electoral College.”

The Electoral College could be decided in the swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where a Harris or Trump victory could spell disaster for the other’s campaign, and where the candidates remain equally split.

The most recent New York Times/Siena poll of around 1,000 likely Michigan voters found the pair tied at 47% support each, while an Atlas Intel survey showed Trump ahead by two points among around 1,200 likely voters. The most recent Marist survey of 1,200 Michiganders showed Harris ahead by three.

In Pennsylvania, the New York Times/Siena poll found 48% for both candidates among a pool of about 1,500 likely Keystone State voters. That comes as the Atlas Intel poll found Trump up by two points and Marist’s poll showed Harris leading by the same amount.

Wisconsin leans toward Harris by two points, according to the New York Times/Siena survey, while Atlas says Trump is up by one point and Marist showed a two-point lead for the vice president.

According to a memo released by the Trump campaign on Sunday, only some of the polling is getting it right. The campaign claimed that the Selzer poll out of Iowa and the New York Times/Siena survey are meant only to serve as a “voter suppression narrative against President Trump’s supporters.”

“The New York Times even helpfully admitted in their story that they had a harder time reaching Republican voters than in their 2020 polls, which were notoriously inaccurate,” Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio wrote. “The NBC and Emerson surveys largely confirm the polls released by Atlas Intel, rated America’s most accurate pollster in 2020, showing President Trump with a 1-point lead nationally and ahead in the battleground states.”

Trump, both during a Sunday rally in Pennsylvania and via his Truth Social Media platform, seemed to suggest the Iowa pollster — who he has praised in the past — has suddenly turned against him. The former president erroneously declared that “all polls, except for one heavily skewed toward the Democrats by a Trump hater who called it totally wrong the last time, have me up.”

“By a lot!” he wrote in all caps.

A Harris-Walz campaign spokesperson, responding to Trump’s rally remarks, said in a statement that the former president is demonstrating his desperation as the campaign draws to a close.

“Trump is spending the closing days of his campaign angry and unhinged, lying about the election being stolen because he’s worried he will lose. The American people deserve a leader who tells the truth and will walk into the Oval Office focused on them – that’s Vice President Harris,” the spokesperson said.

As the national polls tighten, so too have betting markets, moving dramatically Saturday night and into Sunday toward Harris.

Trump was as low as a -123 favorite Sunday at Betfair Exchange in London to win the election over Harris, a +120 underdog. The former president had been favorited as high as -210 on Wednesday. The current odds mean bettors must wager $123 to win $100 on Trump to be elected and $100 to win $120 on Harris to be elected.

“This is beginning to shape up like the 50-50 race we anticipated when the matchup was set in July,” BetOnline.ag political oddsmaker Paul Krishnamurty said. “The betting markets were following the large amount of money being wagered on Trump, but now we’re seeing the smarter bettors come in and grab all the value that is left with Harris. I expect to see (the) odds get close to a toss-up by Election Day.”

— Herald wire services contributed

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to reporters after delivering remarks at a church service at Greater Emmanuel Institutional Church of God in Christ, Sunday in Detroit. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)