One important question for Josh Kraft: Where exactly is your path to victory?

Kraft seems destined to become just another Boston mayoral challenger in a long history of big time losers.

Do Michael Flaherty and Joe Tierney ring a bell?

Both failed miserably to topple powerful incumbents Tom Menino and Ray Flynn, losing by large margins.

Flynn reached 67% in 1987 while Menino topped 57% in 2009 when he won a record fifth term.

Incumbent Michelle Wu now is getting 60% of the vote, according to a new Suffolk University poll, heading for margins similar to what Flynn and Menino typically reached during their long mayoral reigns.

It’s going to be a long, uphill climb for Kraft, son of Patriots owner Robert Kraft, to start to put a dent in Wu’s lead. There is no anti-incumbency fever sweeping through the city.

And there doesn’t seem to be an overall compelling reason to remove her from office.

Yes, there’s small pockets of criticism coming from some corners, but no citywide criticism being voiced by voters.

Bike lanes? Sure, some people would like them removed because Wu has gone overboard, but it’s hardly an issue that’s going to eject her from office.

White Stadium? This is an issue that some Roxbury residents might be motivated to come out and vote, but hardly enough to make an impact on the race.

On Mass and Cass, Wu has made an effort to fix the rampant drug use and crime and that has largely failed – simply spreading it out to other neighborhoods in the South End.

But overall most voters feel it’s not something a mayor is going to resolve in one fell swoop. Kraft has a plan too – he should sell it and see if voters are buying.

Wu has also failed to keep down the skyrocketing cost of housing, but she does have a plan and is making small amounts of progress.

Wu has successfully created a narrative that she is fighting for the city, and that is more important than any one issue. You can thank Donald Trump for that.

Wu has tried to tie Kraft to Trump, despite a lack of evidence, and it might explain why his disapproval rate is so shockingly high at 42%. That is an extremely troubling number for him because he is just now introducing himself to Boston voters in a new TV ad campaign.

The Kraft name also does not carry the same positive feelings that it used to when the Patriots and Tom Brady were regularly winning Super Bowls. In fact some fans blame Kraft partly for allowing the team to fall to the bottom of the NFL.

And Wu is not letting up. Her campaign is putting out a new demand that Kraft release all his financial records. Her campaign is also targeting the Kraft family’s bid for a new soccer stadium in Everett, which Wu claims will cause traffic and other disruptions in Boston.

“Bostonians deserve transparency, especially from a candidate who may have financial interests, potential entanglements, and conflicts of interest, like Everett Stadium, in front of the city,” Wu’s campaign said in a statement.

The Suffolk poll is devastating for Kraft because it will discourage potential supporters from coming to him, especially business leaders who don’t want to incur Wu’s wrath.

The poll will also help Wu with fundraising because people want to be with a winner.

The race is bound to tighten somewhat after the September preliminary election, when the field will be winnowed to just Kraft and Wu.

But barring a major scandal or Wu leaving office to take another job, Kraft appears headed for the same place that other candidates who challenged powerful incumbents end up.

Kraft put out a statement on Monday but notably did not refute the results of the poll. His response was essentially the old campaign cliche: ‘the only vote that matters is on Election Day.’