So you’re telling me there’s a chance?

The odds are low, but there’s still a risk for a whopper of a nor’easter to pound New England this weekend, according to local meteorologists.

Forecasters are tracking a potential storm system for the weekend, but a miss to the south or a “glancing blow” appeared more likely as of Tuesday.

“It looks like more of a glancing blow or miss with only some light snow, but we can’t completely rule out a more significant impact because we’re still four days out,” Hayden Frank, meteorologist at the National Weather Service’s Boston office, told the Herald.

He estimated that the odds of a significant winter storm were at about 20% as of Tuesday.

Meteorologists will find out by Wednesday night if the forecast models show the system moving further north.

“There are multiple moving parts to this,” Frank said. “The northern energy will be controlling whether the storm gets close enough to us.”

There are two main scenarios for the track of the storm, according to AccuWeather. One scenario would have the southern system moving out to sea, and the other scenario would have the storm strengthening and coming north up the East Coast.

The first scenario was more likely as of Tuesday.

“If you’re a snow lover, it’s not looking real good,” AccuWeather senior meteorologist Tom Kines told the Herald.

By Wednesday evening, they should have a “pretty good idea of what’s going to happen,” he added.

Lots of talk about a possible winter storm this weekend. Right now we are favoring a more offshore track but we can’t completely rule out a closer pass with more of an impact in southern New England. Stay tuned for updates as we approach the weekend! #MAwx #RIwx #CTwx pic.twitter.com/5krk1AILMo

— NWS Boston (@NWSBoston) January 7, 2025

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The low-pressure system will be emerging from the Gulf Mexico late this week and lifting northeast Friday into Saturday. How far north this system will get depends on the northern stream energy.

“This storm is still 96-120 hours out in the model world and we still can not rule out a more significant impact,” reads the National Weather Service forecast discussion. “While most of the GEFS/EPS/CMC individual ensembles indicate a glancing blow/miss… there are a few that indicate a larger impact with most of those being GEFS members.”