Any hopes of the Vikings making the playoffs are hanging by a thread after they staved off elimination with a blowout win over the Washington Commanders.

Rationally, it’s fairly ridiculous to even talk about the playoffs considering the Vikings are 5-8 and have a less than 1% chance of moving on to the postseason. On most NFL playoff trackers, they don’t even show up “in the hunt” because they’re so far behind in the standings.

Not only would the Vikings need everything to break in their favor this week to not be eliminated, they would then need everything to break in their favor every week over the next month to finish above the cut line.

This could be their last few days in postseason contention.

Getting there would require the Vikings winning out to get to 9-8, then getting a lot of help so that the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions also end up at 9-8. In that scenario, the Vikings would win the tiebreaker earn the final spot against all odds.

“Playoffs?! … Playoffs?!” You can almost hear the epic rant from former Indianapolis Colts head coach Jim Mora when actually going through the chain of events that need to happen for the Vikings to make the playoffs.

Never the less, here’s what must happen:

Week 15

Even before the Vikings take the field, they need the Cleveland Browns to beat the Bears, and the Los Angeles Rams to beat the Lions. It would also help if the New Orleans Saints beat the Carolina Panthers.

The most important piece of the puzzle, of course, is the Vikings beating the Dallas Cowboys in primetime Sunday. That would increase their chances of making the playoffs to a whopping 4%.

Week 16

Let’s say everything goes well this weekend and the Vikings manage to stay alive. They would then need the Green Bay Packers to beat the Bears, the Los Angeles Chargers to beat the Cowboys, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers need to beat the Panthers, and the Pittsburgh Steelers to beat the Lions.

As long as the Vikings also take care of business by beating the New York Giants, it would increase their chances of making the playoffs to 28%.

Week 17

There will be a lot of believers if the Vikings are somehow still in contention on Christmas Day. They would then need the Washington Commanders to beat the Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks to beat the Panthers, and the San Francisco 49ers to beat the Bears. Then if the Vikings beat the Lions, they would increase their chances of making the playoffs to 48%.

Week 18

The bandwagon will be packed if the Vikings have a chance heading into the regular-season finale. The convoluted list of scenarios would also become rather straightforward if it gets to that point. There will be nothing else that matters other than what happens in the NFC North.

All the Vikings would need to do is beat the Packers, then have the Lions beat the Bears. That would put the finishing touches on a miracle for the Vikings, and most important, would increase their chances of making the playoffs to 100%

Minnesota Vikings linebacker Blake Cashman (51) puts pressure on Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) in the first quarter of NFL football game at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on Sunday, Dec, 7, 2025. (John Autey / Pioneer Press)

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